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Memory price increases to moderate as consumer demand reaches limits

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Key points

  • DRAM prices expected to rise 13%-18% in Q3 2026.
  • NAND prices projected to increase 10%-15% quarter-over-quarter.
  • Consumer electronics face challenges absorbing higher memory costs.

Memory Price Trends Through 2026

According to a report by TrendForce, memory prices are set to continue increasing through the third quarter of 2026. Conventional DRAM contract prices are expected to rise between 13% and 18% quarter-over-quarter, while NAND Flash contract prices are projected to increase by 10% to 15%.

Impact of Consumer Demand

Despite the projected increases, the rate of growth is significantly reduced from approximately 60% experienced in the previous quarter. This slowdown is attributed to consumer electronics manufacturers reaching a limit on what they can pay for memory, suggesting that the recent price increases are unsustainable in the consumer market.

AI Demand vs. Consumer Market

The ongoing demand for AI inference systems is supporting the memory market, particularly for DRAM and NAND used in enterprise applications. Memory manufacturers are prioritizing production capacity for higher-margin server products, which exacerbates the situation for consumer memory supply.

Varied Market Conditions

The divide between enterprise and consumer markets is evident, with sustained demand for server DRAM anticipated through 2027. However, consumer markets are facing increasing pressure, leading manufacturers to raise prices or scale back production as consumer demand weakens.

Outlook for the Future

As higher memory costs are filtered into retail pricing for PCs and smartphones, it is likely that overall PC shipments will be negatively impacted. Similarly, smartphone vendors may adjust production plans and raise prices to manage the impact of elevated LPDRAM costs.

✨ This summary was generated by AI from the outlets' reporting listed below. It is not independently verified and may contain errors — check the original sources. How BrevFeed works →

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Reporting from

Memory prices are projected to rise through Q3 2026, but growth will slow as consumers hit affordability limits. While demand for AI and server memory remains strong, consumer electronics manufacturers are struggling with higher costs, leading to a distinct divide in the market.