A RAND report, "Breaking Glass, Missing Hands," released on August 31, concludes that the United States does not possess the necessary workforce to rebuild military space assets quickly if they were destroyed in a conflict with nations like China or Russia. The study sets a reconstitution benchmark of 12 to 24 months, a significantly faster pace than the typical decade required to replace an aging satellite.
The report examines whether the space defense industrial base could meet this accelerated timeline between 2027 and 2032. Researchers analyzed federal labor and education statistics from October 2024 through March 2025 and conducted interviews with industry representatives and education administrators from May through July 2025. Gen. Michael Guetlein sponsored the study.
The study categorizes the space-supporting workforce into three groups, with engineers being the first. While nearly 3 million Americans are engineers, only about 3% work in space-supporting industries like satellite communications, semiconductors, and optical glass manufacturing. These industries account for approximately 7,000 of 208,000 annual engineering job openings, and the space sector struggles to compete with higher-paying AI, software, and data analytics sectors for talent.
The second category, "skilled touch labor," includes technicians and assemblers who physically construct spacecraft. Based on 2023 Bureau of Labor Statistics figures, there are about 30,000 annual openings for technicians, but only around 11,000 individuals acquire the necessary qualifications each year. For assemblers, including cleanroom technicians, the report found approximately 244,000 annual openings.
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A RAND report published August 31 states the US lacks sufficient engineers, technicians, and assemblers to replace military space assets lost in a conflict within 12-24 months. This workforce shortage could prevent the US from reconstituting its space capabilities quickly enough in a protracted war.