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Reviewing Kevin Kelly's 2016 AI Predictions from "The Inevitable"
Key points
- Kevin Kelly predicted Google's main product would be AI by 2026.
- Kelly believed Google uses search to train its AI.
- Larry Page reportedly stated Google was "really making an AI" in 2002.
- Google acquires AI and robotics companies, including DeepMind.
Kevin Kelly's 2016 AI Predictions
The article examines AI predictions made by Kevin Kelly in his 2016 book, "The Inevitable." Kelly's book outlined several macro technological trends, including the future of artificial intelligence. The review specifically focuses on his forecast regarding Google's strategic direction concerning AI.
Google's Shift Towards AI
One key prediction from Kelly was that by 2026, Google's main product would transition from search to AI. This perspective is rooted in a conversation Kelly had with Google co-founder Larry Page around 2002, where Page indicated Google's core endeavor was AI development, not just search.
Kelly argued that Google's search operations serve as a mechanism to train its AI. Each search query, click, and link creation contributes data that tutors Google's deep-learning AI. This process, involving billions of daily queries, continuously refines the AI's capabilities.
AI as Google's Core Product
Kelly's analysis suggested that Google's acquisitions of AI and robotics companies, such as DeepMind, were not primarily to enhance search but to build a robust AI. He posited that Google was using its dominant search platform to develop an unrivaled AI, leveraging vast amounts of data and computing resources.
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Reporting from
This article revisits Kevin Kelly's 2016 AI predictions from his book "The Inevitable," focusing on his forecast that Google's primary product would be AI by 2026. Kelly's perspective was that Google uses search data to train its AI, rather than AI solely to improve search, a view supported by a conversation with Larry Page.