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Southeast Asia's Digital Economy to Reach $368 Billion by 2026, Driven by AI

🔄 Updated 16d ago — new reporting from CNBC Technology
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Key points

  • Digital economy in Southeast Asia to reach $368B GMV by 2026.
  • Generative AI used by 243 million people (58% of working population).
  • AI adoption is four times faster than mobile internet rollout.
  • AI drives growth across e-commerce, online travel, media, mobility, and finance.
  • AI adoption reached 243 million people in less than three years.
  • Only 1% to 2% of the region's population pays for personal AI subscriptions.
  • Businesses monetize AI through improved e-commerce conversion rates and customer service.
  • Florian Hoppe is a partner at Bain & Company.

Digital Economy Growth Projections

The digital economy in Southeast Asia is forecast to achieve a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) of $368 billion by 2026, representing a 17% year-on-year growth. This projection comes from the 11th annual e-Conomy SEA report, titled 'Building the Intelligent Economy,' a collaboration between Google, Temasek, and Bain & Company. The report indicates that the region is on track to surpass $1 trillion by 2035.

Generative AI as a Growth Driver

Generative AI is identified as a primary catalyst for this economic expansion. Currently, 243 million people in Southeast Asia, or 58% of the working population, actively use generative AI. Its adoption rate is noted to be four times faster than that of mobile internet, suggesting a rapid integration into daily digital activities. The report anticipates a 60-fold increase in regional AI usage over the next five years, using 'tokens' as a new benchmark for the AI economy.

AI's Impact Across Sectors

AI is influencing various sectors within the digital economy. E-commerce, with a projected $226 billion GMV and 18% YoY growth, benefits from multimodal discovery and in-app assistants, leading to higher conversions and order volumes. Online travel ($59 billion GMV, 10% YoY growth) sees generative AI becoming the second-most used tool for itinerary planning, after traditional search engines. Online media ($44 billion revenue, 22% YoY growth) utilizes AI for personalized content and targeted advertising, contributing to a $4 billion commerce media market. Mobility and food delivery ($40 billion GMV, 15% YoY growth) leverage AI for predictive suggestions and optimized routing. Digital financial services ($1,650 billion GTV, 16% YoY growth) employ AI for fraud detection, credit access, and personalized financial advice.

Updates

🕒 2026-10-22 · new reporting from CNBC Technology
  • AI adoption reached 243 million people in less than three years.
  • Only 1% to 2% of the region's population pays for personal AI subscriptions.
  • Businesses monetize AI through improved e-commerce conversion rates and customer service.
  • Florian Hoppe is a partner at Bain & Company.

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How outlets covered it

Generative AI adoption in Southeast Asia has reached 243 million people, or 58% of the working population, according to a Google, Temasek, and Bain & Company report. Businesses are monetizing AI through improved e-commerce conversion rates and customer service, rather than relying on the low 1-2% personal subscription rate.

Southeast Asia's digital economy is projected to grow 17% year-on-year to $368 billion in Gross Merchandise Value by 2026, according to a report by Google, Temasek, and Bain & Company. This growth is attributed to the widespread adoption of generative AI, which is used by 243 million people in the region and is scaling four times faster than mobile internet rollout.