The European Union is pursuing technological sovereignty through initiatives like AI factories and data centers, which require a significant supply of advanced semiconductors. However, Europe currently produces less than 10% of the world's chips and remains dependent on U.S. designers and Asian manufacturers for these critical components.
The original Chips Act, adopted in 2023, aimed to increase Europe's share of global semiconductor production to 20% by 2030. The European Court of Auditors has indicated this target is unlikely to be met, with current projections placing Europe's market share at approximately 11.7%.
The European Commission plans to introduce Chips Act 2.0 to address a perceived weakness in the first law: its focus on supply expansion without sufficient demand stimulation. The new act is expected to include demand-side measures such as public procurement tools, demand accelerators, and improved coordination between chip producers and industrial users. The goal is to encourage investment in European chip design and manufacturing through stronger domestic demand.
A paradox exists within this strategy: the AI infrastructure intended to anchor a European semiconductor ecosystem will initially rely almost entirely on advanced processors designed by U.S. companies and manufactured in Asia. This creates a 'demand trap' where the very initiatives meant to foster European chip independence will first deepen reliance on external suppliers.
The European Commission's AI Continent action plan includes 19 AI factories, up to seven AI gigafactories, and a proposal to triple the bloc's data center capacity within five to seven years. This expansion will necessitate a large supply of advanced AI processors, further highlighting the dependency on non-European sources in the short term.
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The European Union's strategy to build AI factories and data centers is increasing demand for advanced semiconductors, which contradicts its goal of reducing reliance on foreign chip manufacturers. The upcoming Chips Act 2.0 aims to stimulate domestic demand for chips, but the AI infrastructure will initially depend on non-European processors, creating a demand trap.