The current rapid advancement of technology, particularly in AI, often focuses on future implications without acknowledging its historical context. The article posits that this moment has a past, and its trajectory was not inevitable, suggesting that different choices could have led to different outcomes.
Between the 1950s and 1980s, as computers became more powerful and data processing expanded, many observers foresaw the potential societal and political consequences. These individuals issued warnings about the rise of an "artificial state," where machines and algorithms could replace liberal democratic processes and the consent of the governed. They cautioned that democratic deliberation might be supplanted by calculation and the public sphere by data-driven commerce.
The increasing adoption of computing technologies across military, industry, business, and medicine led to significant automation of public life. This automation, driven by computers, networks, and algorithms, began to perform political functions such as rallying support and crafting policy. This period generated widespread speculation, oscillating between visions of a technological utopia and fears of an authoritarian artificial state.
In 1981, Japanese sociologist Yoneji Masuda, a theorist of the "information society," predicted two divergent paths. He envisioned either a "computopia" that would eliminate class and national distinctions, or a future where technology would lead to an "artificial state." His predictions exemplify the dual nature of the early discussions surrounding the digital age's impact.
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The article argues that early theorists of the digital age foresaw and warned about the potential for technology to undermine liberal democracy, replacing human deliberation with machine-driven processes. These warnings, issued between the 1950s and 1980s as computing power grew, were largely disregarded, leading to current societal challenges.